chain-spec-risk-metrics

# Chain Spec Risk Metrics

## Table of Contents
- [Purpose](#purpose)
- [When to Use This Skill](#when-to-use-this-skill)
- [When NOT to Use This Skill](#when-not-to-use-this-skill)
- [What Is It?](#what-is-it)
- [Workflow](#workflow)
- [Common Patterns](#common-patterns)
- [Guardrails](#guardrails)
- [Quick Reference](#quick-reference)

## Purpose

This skill helps you create comprehensive plans for high-stakes initiatives by chaining together three critical components: clear specifications, proactive risk analysis, and measurable success metrics. It ensures initiatives are well-defined, risks are anticipated and mitigated, and progress can be objectively tracked.

## When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when you need to:

- **Plan complex implementations** - Migrations, infrastructure changes, system redesigns requiring detailed specs
- **Launch new initiatives** - Products, features, programs that need risk assessment and success measurement
- **Make high-stakes decisions** - Strategic choices where failure modes must be identified and monitored
- **Coordinate cross-functional work** - Initiatives requiring clear specifications for alignment and risk transparency
- **Request comprehensive planning** - User asks "plan this migration", "create implementation roadmap", "what could go wrong?"
- **Establish accountability** - Need clear success criteria and risk owners for governance

**Trigger phrases:**
- "Plan this [migration/launch/implementation]"
- "Create a roadmap for..."
- "What could go wrong with..."
- "How do we measure success for..."
- "Write a spec that includes risks and metrics"
- "Comprehensive plan with risk mitigation"

## When NOT to Use This Skill

Skip this skill when:

- **Quick decisions** - Low-stakes choices don't need full premortem treatment
- **Specifications only** - If user just needs a spec without risk/metrics analysis (use one-pager-prd or adr-architecture instead)
- **Risk analysis only** - If focused solely on identifying risks (