Use when making high-stakes decisions under uncertainty that require stakeholder buy-in. Invoke when evaluating strategic options (build vs buy, market entry, resource allocation), quantifying tradeoffs with uncertain outcomes, justifying investments with expected value analysis, pitching recommendations to decision-makers, or creating business cases with cost-benefit estimates. Use when user mentions "should we", "ROI analysis", "make a case for", "evaluate options", "expected value", "justify decision", or needs to combine estimation, decision analysis, and persuasive communication.
View on GitHubskills/chain-estimation-decision-storytelling/SKILL.md
January 24, 2026
Select agents to install to:
npx add-skill https://github.com/lyndonkl/claude/blob/main/skills/chain-estimation-decision-storytelling/SKILL.md -a claude-code --skill chain-estimation-decision-storytellingInstallation paths:
.claude/skills/chain-estimation-decision-storytelling/# Chain Estimation → Decision → Storytelling ## Table of Contents - [Purpose](#purpose) - [When to Use This Skill](#when-to-use-this-skill) - [What is Chain Estimation → Decision → Storytelling?](#what-is-chain-estimation--decision--storytelling) - [Workflow](#workflow) - [Common Patterns](#common-patterns) - [Guardrails](#guardrails) - [Quick Reference](#quick-reference) ## Purpose Systematically quantify uncertain choices, make defensible decisions using expected value analysis, and communicate recommendations through persuasive narratives. This meta-skill chains estimation → decision → storytelling to transform ambiguous options into clear, stakeholder-ready recommendations. ## When to Use This Skill - Evaluating strategic options with uncertain outcomes (build vs buy, market entry, product investment) - Creating business cases for resource allocation or budget approval - Justifying technical decisions with cost-benefit analysis (architecture, tooling, infrastructure) - Pitching recommendations to executives or board with quantified tradeoffs - Making investment decisions with ROI projections and risk assessment - Prioritizing initiatives with expected value comparison - Evaluating partnerships, acquisitions, or major contracts - Designing pricing strategies with revenue/cost modeling - Resource planning with capacity and utilization estimates - Risk mitigation decisions with probability-weighted outcomes - Product roadmap decisions with effort/impact estimates - Organizational change decisions (hiring, restructuring, policy) - Technology adoption with TCO and benefit quantification - Market positioning decisions with competitive analysis - Portfolio management with probability-adjusted returns **Trigger phrases:** "should we", "evaluate options", "make a case for", "ROI analysis", "expected value", "justify decision", "quantify tradeoffs", "pitch to", "business case", "cost-benefit", "probability-weighted" ## What is Chain Estimation → Decision → Storyte